Disturbance takes aim at Florida
FIRST WE WANT TO TURN THINGS OVER TO FIRST WARNING METEOROLOGIST ALEX ALECCI WITH THE TIMELINE ON WHEN WE COULD FEEL ITS IMPACT. ALEX, WHAT’S THE LATEST? ALEX: TODAY AND TOMORROW IS WHEN MODELS WILL LATCH ONTO THE SYSTEM AS IT FORMS. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, FORECAST CONFIDENCE WILL INCREASE. MODELS WILL HAVE SOMETHING TO REALLY LATCH ONTO AND THAT WILL FIND TUNE THE LOCAL IMPACTS. IF THE TIMING HOLDS TRUE FOR NOW, THURSDAY IS WHEN WE WILL SEE THE WORST OF THE WEATHER MOVING IN WITH GUSTY WINDS, RAIN, AND BEACH CONCERNS. RIGHT NOW IT IS JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. RIGHT NOW IT IS BROAD AND DISORGANIZED. A LOT OF STORMS TO THE NORTH AND EAST SIDE. CIRCULATION IS FORMING ON THE WEST SIDE. WIND IS ALREADY A TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BUT IT IS DISORGANIZED. IT IS EXPECTED TO GO UP AND NORTH AND WEST AND THEN TOWARD CENTRAL FLORIDA. IMPACTS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE GUSTY WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, AND
Tropical disturbance takes aim at Florida
Updated: 6:35 PM EST Nov 6, 2022
A tropical disturbance is creeping closer to Florida’s east coast and chances of development have risen significantly. The National Hurricane Center gives the system, which is located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea, a 90% of formation in the next five days and 80% in the next two days.”A subtropical or tropical storm is likely to form in the next day or so,” the NHC said. “Regardless of development, there is an increasing risk of coastal flooding, tropical-storm-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf, and beach erosion along much of the southeastern United States coast, the Florida east coast, and portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas beginning in the early to middle part of this week.”WESH 2 meteorologists say the latest satellite image shows a fairly unorganized system developing, and gradually lifting to the north.As it lifts north, it will find lower wind shear, warm waters, and a perfect environment for development. When looking at the GFS and Euro models side by side, they both try to develop Invest 98. The Euro keeps it as a tropical storm status, but the GFS brings it to hurricane status and makes landfall somewhere near the Palm Beaches or Treasure Coast. The initial timeline indicates late Wednesday into early Thursday for landfall.The concerns are growing for a fairly significant event at the beaches. After Hurricane Ian, so many dunes have been washed out, sea walls heavily damaged. Related: Tropical disturbance to bring rough weather to hurricane-torn Central Florida coastsIn Volusia County, officials issued a warning Thursday about the storm’s potential to threaten its coastline. They said residents living on the coast should keep a close eye on the disturbance and start preparing right away. County officials there said potential storm impacts include strong rip currents, high surf and breaking waves up to 12 feet.Emergency management director Jim Judge said because the coast is already so damaged and eroded from Hurricane Ian that “this new system heading our way can…
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